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Kenny's Kool Stock Page
I am an amateur stock picker. I have been trading in the stock market for almost five years and honestly, I am still learning.
It has been a long time since I have updated this site. In the meantime I have lost a lot of money in the market and now have only a small amount in the market.
The nine picks below that I picked in January of 2004 have returned some awesome returns but I have not been in them for sometime and sold most at no or little gain. Patience is a virtue.
AXTI at 1.81 down 36.7% from buy point
MOSS at 5.74 up 28.41% from buy point
CSV at 5.08 up 57.76% from buy point
MOBE at 10.51 up 18.09% from buy point
SIRI at 7.21 up 216.23% from buy point
CREE at 26.96 up 56.53% from buy point
TIVO at 5.76 down 11.79% from buy point
LU at 2.81 down 3.1% from buy point
COSI at 8.30 up 293.36% from buy point
So if I had stayed in these until now they would have averaged a 68.84% return which would have stomped any index since January 2004. Lesson learned when you do the research stick with your stocks to receive your hard earned money for your work.
The only stock I own right now is GTW bought at 2.63 on 10/26/2005 just before earnings. So far I am up 15.21% on it!! I plan to hold it until after the holidays and at 3.60 or above I will probably sell it. I will update this a little more regularly now. Thanks,
My Personal Picks-These are stocks I did put my own money in. I will give my buy price and targets and the reason for it technically and/or fundamentally. I will show below what my nine picks have done since January 2004 I have since sold them I should have held them longer but I am very impatient. Everytime I do anything with my money I will put it in here.
My personal portfolio of longer-term 6 months to a year includes the following all bought recently:
AXTI (NEW,19) : Bought a little later on 12/19 at 2.85-Small semi trading low P/B of .84 plus 1.55 per share in cash. It is losing money expected to lose .32 per share next year but it normally beats earnings estimates and surprises. It will come above book value. Support at 2.60
1 Year target=8.675
MOSS (12/16): Bought at 4.47 Great fundamentals exclusive agreements with Target and Zellars (a discounter in Canada) so if they grow so does this company. P/E=8, P/S=3.76 P/B=4.19. They are planning on growing over 20% per year in the next five. I like them because their profit margin is upwards of 40% because they don't make the clothes they just license and design them. Plus the insiders own upwards of 60% so they believe in their company. The balance sheet is great. Support at 4.00.
One year target=12
CSV (12/16): Bought at 3.22-Great fundamentals in depressed industry-funeral homes should be doing better with improving economy people able to spend more for actual coffins and baby boomers are getting old. P/E=8 P/S=.5 P/B=.5 plus 3.00 technically seems to be a solid support.
One year target=8.83
MOBE (12/16): Bought at 8.90-Another growth play with solid barriers to entry with new patents and a partnership with Dell and Radio Shack for next year. Revenues up over 76% over a year ago and expecting over 50% growth this next year. It could easily pass its all-time high at about 16 and if it does there is no stopping it. Strong-support at 8.50.
One year target=30.00
SIRI (12/16): Bought at 2.28-Great growth play that has disappointed up until now in my opinion. It is the laggard in the satellite radio industry to XM but has had great recent developments such as: signed with NFL for 04 and NHL as well, Hertz to Sirius in more locations, applying for Canadian license with a Canadian radio station, has deals with Ford, Dodge, Chrysler, Audi, BMW, Nissan, Mazda and in select brands with other manufacturers. The future is looking brighter plus they are fully funded for another year and a half to two years enough time to reach profitability. Incredible growth prospect here, worst part is over. Support 2.00.
One year target=12.4
CREE (12/16): Bought at 17.18-Growth with value, Semiconductors in a cyclical upturn, way oversold due to lawsuit by brother that has recently been dismissed, short interest high (above 30% of float) expect short squeeze soon. It was strong and had earnings in the black over the last three years unlike many in its sector. Growth rate over 5 years per annum is over 25%. PEG is a 75% below industry average of 4 (it is 1) and P/E is less than half of industry average. It also recently revised revenues upwards for next quarter. Technically has support at 16.50 to 17.00 range.
One year Target=38
TIVO (12/16): Bought at 6.53-Great growth company brought by recent news of other players entering its area. But since most of its subscribers come from DirectT.V. it should be alright since they are committed to tivo. They have applied for a patent so that will help. Plus there is still a chance one of the cable companies will sign up with them. Way oversold though at this time given they will double revenues next year in spite of competition. High at 14.00 they are 50% off of high. Strong support at 6.50.
One year target=18-20
LU (12/16): Bought at 2.90-turnaround hoping for a GLW like climb after reached profitability again, backlog up 14% from a year ago. Telecommunications industry has got to come back some time. It is also in heavy debt but has enough cash and short-term investments to cover all debts. It has a horrible forward P/E of 49.00. I like it because it used to be one of the high fliers and if it shows some gas people will buy back into it. It is also doing a reverse stock split, which will bring its price above 10 and bring in more institutions since they often won't under 5.00. Support at 2.80.
One year target: 10.00 split adjusted
COSI (12/16): Bought at 2.11-More of gamble a New York based upscale coffee/restaurant company, recently an IPO. Stock has been hit big time. I like it cause the insiders still own 50% of the stock so they must believe in their company plus next five years growth rate per annum is 35%. This is a great turnaround play but might need more financing cause they are losing money. P/S=.36 P/B=1.93 Lost 1.40/share this year and only .18 in cash per share according to Yahoo finance. 1.80 to 2.00 seems like an area of support
1 year goal=6
As always be sure to do your own research and keep learning and analyzing your investing and trading to continue to achieve better returns.